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Red321
4381148.9
5709102.3
4216178.6
Blue329
5216154.5
3572158.3
4819142.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2863710100200400500600321329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4216
#24
178.61.6
182.2180.7
Auto22.1
Teleop134.7
End24.9
red by 20.2
3572
#12
158.31.1
161.0160.0
Auto19.6
Teleop115.7
End19.9
Second
4381
#32
148.91.0
150.1149.2
Auto21.5
Teleop109.4
End21.4
blue by 5.6
5216
#25
154.50.1
154.3154.4
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9
Third
5709
#34
102.30.4
100.8101.1
Auto16.1
Teleop72.0
End16.8
blue by 40.3
4819
#22
142.50.3
143.5143.2
Auto16.8
Teleop107.7
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned14%Face the Boss oddsMissed