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Red297
2474184.5
1701150.3
5230144.9
Blue370
5561166.1
6090199.8
6117164.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3244150100200500600700297370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#19
184.50.1
184.8184.9
Auto25.2
Teleop141.7
End17.3
blue by 15.3
199.80.4
199.2199.6
Auto23.4
Teleop146.6
End30.0
Second
1701
#28
150.30.7
149.1149.8
Auto18.6
Teleop105.7
End23.5
blue by 15.8
5561
#14
166.10.7
167.9167.2
Auto18.9
Teleop118.1
End28.3
Third
5230
#37
144.90.7
147.3146.6
Auto20.2
Teleop102.8
End19.9
blue by 19.1
6117
#26
164.00.2
164.1164.3
Auto16.4
Teleop122.8
End27.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed45%Face the Boss oddsEarned