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Red396
5460198.1
3572158.3
7244125.9
Blue323
5155177.5
1596166.4
6087138.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363350250300400450500396323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.10.6
194.6195.2
Auto21.2
Teleop142.8
End36.1
red by 20.6
5155
#16
177.50.5
176.4176.9
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
Second
3572
#12
158.31.1
160.0158.9
Auto19.6
Teleop115.7
End19.9
blue by 8.1
1596
#27
166.40.6
165.2165.8
Auto22.1
Teleop123.3
End22.2
Third
7244
#31
125.91.0
127.4126.3
Auto16.5
Teleop93.9
End11.2
blue by 12.7
6087
#38
138.61.1
140.4139.3
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
50%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed