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Red297
7056145.9
5216154.5
4384144.7
Blue479
33211.4
5517160.8
4381148.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2904160100200500600700297479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#25
154.50.2
154.4154.3
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9
blue by 56.8
33
#4
211.40.7
211.9211.2
Auto23.8
Teleop156.2
End31.3
Second
7056
#33
145.92.2
149.7147.5
Auto18.4
Teleop101.2
End23.5
blue by 14.9
5517
#11
160.80.8
161.8161.0
Auto18.2
Teleop117.5
End24.2
Third
4384
#13
144.72.1
139.5141.7
Auto18.9
Teleop112.7
End14.9
blue by 4.2
4381
#32
148.90.5
149.2148.7
Auto21.5
Teleop109.4
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed42%Face the Boss oddsEarned