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Red363
3572158.3
1918214.9
4381148.9
Blue252
5230144.9
3707207.0
5046174.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3513770100200300500600700800363252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
214.90.1
215.0214.9
Auto23.1
Teleop156.3
End34.1
red by 7.9
207.00.5
209.0209.5
Auto26.2
Teleop148.1
End30.8
Second
3572
#12
158.30.5
158.9158.4
Auto19.6
Teleop115.7
End19.9
blue by 16.1
5046
#21
174.40.8
173.7174.4
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
Third
4381
#32
148.90.2
148.7148.9
Auto21.5
Teleop109.4
End21.4
red by 4.0
5230
#37
144.90.7
146.6145.9
Auto20.2
Teleop102.8
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
60%Face the Boss oddsEarned52%Face the Boss oddsMissed