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Red350
67209.6
3707207.0
4392175.1
Blue276
3656203.5
5460198.1
5216154.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4093540100200300500600700800350276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#3
209.60.3
211.0210.7
Auto24.8
Teleop142.8
End39.8
red by 6.1
3656
#18
203.50.1
203.7203.5
Auto23.0
Teleop152.3
End26.8
Second
207.00.3
208.5208.2
Auto26.2
Teleop148.1
End30.8
red by 8.8
198.10.4
197.8198.1
Auto21.2
Teleop142.8
End36.1
Third
4392
#23
175.10.0
175.7175.6
Auto15.4
Teleop138.2
End21.1
red by 20.6
5216
#25
154.50.1
154.5154.5
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9