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Red472
494213.9
1718180.3
3667147.3
Blue298
3357230.5
3452194.7
6193168.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3374030100200300500600700472298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#8
213.90.0
213.9213.9
Auto21.7
Teleop162.7
End28.9
blue by 16.7
230.50.1
230.9230.7
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
Second
180.30.4
179.6179.9
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
blue by 14.3
194.70.1
194.5194.6
Auto20.8
Teleop142.5
End29.1
Third
3667
#38
147.30.2
147.7147.4
Auto17.4
Teleop118.2
End11.3
blue by 21.5
6193
#24
168.80.2
169.3169.1
Auto20.1
Teleop124.3
End24.0