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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red424
3357230.5
3452194.7
6193168.8
Blue296
3542169.1
5505201.1
7225179.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4393380100200300400500600700424296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#5
230.50.1
231.4→231.3
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
red by 29.5
5505
#11
201.10.1
200.9→201.1
Auto20.8
Teleop152.7
End27.3
Second
3452
#2
194.70.3
193.6→193.9
Auto20.8
Teleop142.5
End29.1
red by 15.7
7225
#15
179.00.0
179.0→179.0
Auto26.5
Teleop132.7
End20.3
Third
6193
#24
168.80.2
170.2→170.1
Auto20.1
Teleop124.3
End24.0
blue by 0.3
3542
#16
169.10.0
169.1→169.1
Auto21.8
Teleop126.6
End21.3