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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red449
302209.0
27192.9
5436173.5
Blue311
4391194.7
1506188.2
74170.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4093250100200500600700449311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#6
209.00.1
209.3→209.2
Auto21.4
Teleop161.8
End24.9
red by 14.2
4391
#12
194.70.1
194.9→194.7
Auto28.3
Teleop145.1
End21.2
Second
27
#3
192.90.1
192.6→192.7
Auto23.4
Teleop141.1
End24.1
red by 4.7
1506
#9
188.20.2
188.4→188.2
Auto22.7
Teleop142.8
End18.7
Third
5436
#19
173.50.2
173.0→173.2
Auto21.0
Teleop125.6
End26.7
red by 3.5
74
#35
170.00.3
170.3→170.0
Auto19.7
Teleop134.3
End14.8