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Red462
4391194.7
74170.0
1506188.2
Blue202
5509166.8
3603159.6
4970164.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439303100200400500600700462202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#12
194.71.8
187.9189.7
Auto28.3
Teleop145.1
End21.2
red by 27.9
5509
#33
166.81.0
175.7174.7
Auto18.7
Teleop122.3
End26.4
Second
188.20.5
194.9194.4
Auto22.7
Teleop142.8
End18.7
red by 23.3
4970
#27
164.90.5
177.5176.9
Auto24.8
Teleop116.7
End22.6
Third
74
#35
170.00.0
177.7177.7
Auto19.7
Teleop134.3
End14.8
red by 10.5
3603
#29
159.60.2
151.7151.8
Auto17.9
Teleop116.1
End25.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned