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Red176
5436173.5
5915129.8
7250126.8
Blue362
3357230.5
1506188.2
5505201.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2195000400600800176362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#19
173.50.4
169.9169.5
Auto21.0
Teleop125.6
End26.7
blue by 57.0
230.50.4
236.2236.6
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
Second
5915
#36
129.81.4
138.8137.4
Auto15.4
Teleop101.9
End17.5
blue by 71.3
5505
#11
201.10.6
196.8197.5
Auto20.8
Teleop152.7
End27.3
Third
7250
#13
126.80.4
121.4121.8
Auto21.7
Teleop90.9
End15.2
blue by 61.4
188.20.4
194.4194.0
Auto22.7
Teleop142.8
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed