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Red270
7234132.2
5509166.8
5531153.8
Blue396
2054184.9
1718180.3
5084146.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296409100200500600700270396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#33
166.81.4
174.7173.3
Auto18.7
Teleop122.3
End26.4
blue by 18.1
2054
#10
184.91.1
176.7177.8
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
Second
5531
#30
153.80.3
163.2162.9
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1
blue by 26.5
180.32.2
163.3165.6
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
Third
7234
#28
132.20.6
130.0130.6
Auto18.5
Teleop92.1
End23.1
blue by 14.2
5084
#39
146.40.6
153.9153.3
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsEarned