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Qual 332018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red289
4776169.2
5436173.5
2054184.9
Blue352
5050191.3
3452194.7
1718180.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315419100200500600700800900289352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#10
184.90.1
178.8→178.6
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
blue by 9.7
3452
#2
194.70.6
189.5→190.1
Auto20.8
Teleop142.5
End29.1
Second
5436
#19
173.50.2
169.1→168.8
Auto21.0
Teleop125.6
End26.7
blue by 17.8
5050
#4
191.30.1
182.6→182.7
Auto23.7
Teleop140.9
End29.0
Third
4776
#7
169.21.4
158.6→160.1
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
blue by 11.2
1718
#1
180.31.3
167.5→168.8
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsEarned