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Red329
7250126.8
3667147.3
4327131.1
Blue278
7234132.2
3655135.1
7225179.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308339100200400500600329278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3667
#38
147.30.7
153.5152.8
Auto17.4
Teleop118.2
End11.3
blue by 31.8
7225
#15
179.01.7
174.5176.2
Auto26.5
Teleop132.7
End20.3
Second
4327
#40
131.10.4
133.2132.8
Auto14.5
Teleop101.9
End14.6
blue by 4.0
3655
#32
135.10.7
133.1133.7
Auto16.8
Teleop100.7
End18.1
Third
7250
#13
126.80.8
122.3123.1
Auto21.7
Teleop90.9
End15.2
blue by 5.4
7234
#28
132.20.3
131.9132.2
Auto18.5
Teleop92.1
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed