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Red351
4970164.9
2054184.9
5314160.8
Blue371
5505201.1
4776169.2
3542169.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346393100200300500600700351371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#10
184.91.6
179.8181.4
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
blue by 16.2
5505
#11
201.10.8
198.5199.4
Auto20.8
Teleop152.7
End27.3
Second
4970
#27
164.92.1
172.1170.1
Auto24.8
Teleop116.7
End22.6
blue by 4.3
169.21.2
164.5165.7
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
Third
5314
#21
160.81.1
156.3157.3
Auto19.9
Teleop127.7
End16.1
blue by 8.4
3542
#16
169.10.6
171.1170.4
Auto21.8
Teleop126.6
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsEarned