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Red314
2054184.9
857138.1
7234132.2
Blue400
5915129.8
1506188.2
6193168.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3153770100200500600700314400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#10
184.91.2
181.4182.7
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
blue by 3.3
188.21.5
190.6189.0
Auto22.7
Teleop142.8
End18.7
Second
857
#25
138.10.9
139.0138.1
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End23.3
blue by 30.7
6193
#24
168.80.0
169.5169.5
Auto20.1
Teleop124.3
End24.0
Third
7234
#28
132.20.2
132.2132.0
Auto18.5
Teleop92.1
End23.1
red by 2.4
5915
#36
129.80.1
128.8128.7
Auto15.4
Teleop101.9
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
69%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsEarned