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Red282
5531153.8
7225179.0
74170.0
Blue427
4776169.2
2832153.4
1506188.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346386100200300500600282427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7225
#15
179.01.2
177.3178.5
Auto26.5
Teleop132.7
End20.3
blue by 9.2
188.20.4
189.0188.6
Auto22.7
Teleop142.8
End18.7
Second
74
#35
170.01.1
173.0171.9
Auto19.7
Teleop134.3
End14.8
red by 0.9
169.21.2
166.8168.0
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
Third
5531
#30
153.81.7
159.3157.5
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1
red by 0.5
2832
#17
153.40.5
152.1152.6
Auto20.2
Teleop109.7
End24.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed