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Red238
6193168.8
5084146.4
6112146.2
Blue415
5523135.9
5314160.8
1718180.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311369100200400500600238415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6193
#24
168.80.1
170.3170.4
Auto20.1
Teleop124.3
End24.0
blue by 11.5
180.30.9
176.0176.9
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
Second
5084
#39
146.41.1
147.5146.4
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End16.9
blue by 14.4
5314
#21
160.81.0
158.1159.1
Auto19.9
Teleop127.7
End16.1
Third
6112
#37
146.20.0
146.7146.7
Auto21.7
Teleop111.3
End15.4
red by 10.2
5523
#23
135.90.0
135.1135.1
Auto19.9
Teleop98.9
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed35%Face the Boss oddsEarned