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Red298
7250126.8
5534132.6
5509166.8
Blue455
4970164.9
5531153.8
3452194.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2704100100200500600700800298455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#33
166.80.4
167.4167.0
Auto18.7
Teleop122.3
End26.4
blue by 27.8
194.70.2
192.3192.5
Auto20.8
Teleop142.5
End29.1
Second
5534
#34
132.60.0
132.6132.6
Auto21.3
Teleop94.5
End19.6
blue by 32.3
4970
#27
164.91.4
166.3164.9
Auto24.8
Teleop116.7
End22.6
Third
7250
#13
126.80.9
125.2126.1
Auto21.7
Teleop90.9
End15.2
blue by 27.0
5531
#30
153.82.0
157.5155.5
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsEarned