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Red313
5523135.9
5535156.7
3357230.5
Blue377
4405170.8
857138.1
4391194.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39533402006008001,000313377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230.50.1
231.3231.4
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
red by 35.8
4391
#12
194.70.5
195.3194.8
Auto28.3
Teleop145.1
End21.2
Second
5535
#26
156.70.1
156.7156.7
Auto16.1
Teleop120.3
End22.6
blue by 14.1
4405
#22
170.81.1
168.9170.0
Auto21.2
Teleop125.4
End24.5
Third
5523
#23
135.90.8
135.1135.9
Auto19.9
Teleop98.9
End20.1
blue by 2.2
857
#25
138.10.0
137.8137.8
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
53%Face the Boss oddsEarned48%Face the Boss oddsMissed