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Red224
4327131.1
6112146.2
5314160.8
Blue444
3357230.5
5531153.8
5712166.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2574540100200300400500600700224444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#21
160.80.7
152.4153.1
Auto19.9
Teleop127.7
End16.1
blue by 69.8
230.50.5
235.6236.2
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
Second
6112
#37
146.20.7
152.2151.5
Auto21.7
Teleop111.3
End15.4
blue by 20.2
5712
#14
166.40.3
162.2162.4
Auto21.8
Teleop119.8
End25.9
Third
4327
#40
131.11.0
132.6133.6
Auto14.5
Teleop101.9
End14.6
blue by 22.8
5531
#30
153.80.4
163.6163.2
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned