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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Michigan State Championship - Ford Division
Red319
3098188.7
4003204.8
2586145.7
Blue401
3604177.9
141185.3
6753167.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365369200300400500600319401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#3
204.80.1
204.5→204.6
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
red by 19.5
141
#8
185.30.7
183.4→184.1
Auto24.7
Teleop138.0
End24.4
Second
3098
#7
188.70.2
190.7→190.5
Auto20.6
Teleop139.9
End27.0
red by 10.8
3604
#27
177.90.1
178.3→178.1
Auto20.0
Teleop129.2
End26.2
Third
2586
#32
145.70.1
147.3→147.2
Auto16.2
Teleop111.5
End18.1
blue by 21.7
6753
#16
167.40.4
166.2→166.6
Auto23.8
Teleop122.6
End21.6