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Red344
1711160.3
6753167.4
4967166.9
Blue377
3098188.7
2075170.1
3539179.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299413100200500600700344377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#16
167.40.4
156.3156.8
Auto23.8
Teleop122.6
End21.6
blue by 21.4
188.70.9
178.3179.2
Auto20.6
Teleop139.9
End27.0
Second
166.90.2
152.2152.0
Auto27.0
Teleop112.4
End28.3
blue by 12.3
179.20.9
174.1175.0
Auto24.0
Teleop130.0
End25.2
Third
1711
#38
160.31.6
150.3151.9
Auto16.5
Teleop128.1
End16.5
blue by 9.8
2075
#12
170.11.3
162.5163.8
Auto21.5
Teleop138.1
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed