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Red275
3770167.5
2771196.0
5205136.3
Blue464
4967166.9
85207.4
5462165.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361381100200300500600700800275464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.00.3
190.9190.6
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
blue by 11.4
85
#2
207.41.3
195.8197.2
Auto24.5
Teleop155.1
End27.9
Second
3770
#29
167.50.0
174.5174.4
Auto18.8
Teleop124.5
End20.2
red by 0.6
166.90.4
152.0152.4
Auto27.0
Teleop112.4
End28.3
Third
5205
#35
136.30.8
137.5136.7
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
blue by 29.5
5462
#33
165.80.1
158.2158.1
Auto17.6
Teleop117.8
End30.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
35%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned