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Red322
4994131.7
503182.2
51155.6
Blue325
3539179.2
7213133.9
3770167.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343351250300400450500322325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
182.20.6
174.7174.1
Auto22.3
Teleop126.0
End32.2
red by 2.9
179.21.2
177.1178.2
Auto24.0
Teleop130.0
End25.2
Second
51
#17
155.60.6
150.5151.1
Auto18.8
Teleop109.4
End28.9
blue by 11.9
3770
#29
167.50.6
174.4173.9
Auto18.8
Teleop124.5
End20.2
Third
4994
#36
131.70.8
140.1139.3
Auto19.2
Teleop101.0
End6.4
blue by 2.2
7213
#25
133.90.5
132.9133.4
Auto17.3
Teleop99.0
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned