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Red211
6861144.8
5674170.7
4004162.0
Blue315
7248111.8
3538204.6
503182.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377335200300500600211315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5674
#24
170.70.1
184.6184.7
Auto20.1
Teleop124.0
End27.2
blue by 33.9
3538
#11
204.60.4
204.7205.1
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
Second
4004
#30
162.01.2
164.1165.3
Auto18.6
Teleop125.5
End14.9
blue by 20.1
503
#5
182.20.3
174.9174.5
Auto22.3
Teleop126.0
End32.2
Third
6861
#31
144.80.2
155.7155.9
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
red by 33.0
7248
#34
111.80.4
103.5103.9
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsEarned