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Red267
2834195.6
5843168.3
5152173.9
Blue420
5927120.8
85207.4
503182.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4183040100200500600700267420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.61.1
193.2194.3
Auto21.2
Teleop145.5
End25.5
blue by 11.8
85
#2
207.40.2
201.7201.5
Auto24.5
Teleop155.1
End27.9
Second
5152
#14
173.90.1
171.7171.8
Auto20.2
Teleop131.6
End21.4
blue by 8.3
503
#5
182.20.1
173.5173.6
Auto22.3
Teleop126.0
End32.2
Third
5843
#39
168.30.8
181.1180.3
Auto24.0
Teleop128.1
End14.1
red by 47.5
5927
#20
120.80.7
112.8113.5
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed44%Face the Boss oddsEarned