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Red276
4004162.0
6100151.5
4680134.7
Blue425
5193167.1
5150163.4
2771196.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2914190100200500600700800276425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#30
162.00.5
162.3161.8
Auto18.6
Teleop125.5
End14.9
blue by 33.9
196.00.9
191.1192.0
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
Second
6100
#26
151.50.6
154.7154.1
Auto14.3
Teleop117.5
End18.3
blue by 15.6
5193
#15
167.10.4
164.2163.7
Auto15.8
Teleop120.1
End32.8
Third
4680
#37
134.70.5
138.5137.9
Auto15.1
Teleop99.1
End19.1
blue by 28.7
5150
#18
163.40.3
166.4166.2
Auto19.4
Teleop116.6
End28.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed60%Face the Boss oddsEarned