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Red453
3770167.5
2075170.1
2834195.6
Blue206
5843168.3
3604177.9
2586145.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370348200250300400450500453206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.60.0
194.2194.2
Auto21.2
Teleop145.5
End25.5
red by 17.7
3604
#27
177.90.7
183.3182.6
Auto20.0
Teleop129.2
End26.2
Second
2075
#12
170.10.1
169.2169.3
Auto21.5
Teleop138.1
End11.3
red by 1.8
5843
#39
168.30.7
178.7178.1
Auto24.0
Teleop128.1
End14.1
Third
3770
#29
167.50.6
171.6171.1
Auto18.8
Teleop124.5
End20.2
red by 21.8
2586
#32
145.70.4
151.6151.1
Auto16.2
Teleop111.5
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed