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Red403
6753167.4
4003204.8
7248111.8
Blue436
2834195.6
3539179.2
66185.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283431100200400500600700403436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.80.3
200.7201.0
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
red by 9.2
195.60.4
194.2194.7
Auto21.2
Teleop145.5
End25.5
Second
6753
#16
167.40.5
161.9162.4
Auto23.8
Teleop122.6
End21.6
blue by 18.4
66
#22
185.80.5
183.8184.3
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
Third
7248
#34
111.80.2
107.5107.7
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End15.2
blue by 67.4
179.20.2
178.5178.6
Auto24.0
Teleop130.0
End25.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsEarned