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Red452
245189.3
66185.8
85207.4
Blue221
4004162.0
7213133.9
3604177.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions440284100200400500600700452221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#2
207.40.5
204.8205.3
Auto24.5
Teleop155.1
End27.9
red by 29.4
3604
#27
177.90.5
181.0180.4
Auto20.0
Teleop129.2
End26.2
Second
245
#19
189.31.7
193.7192.0
Auto19.5
Teleop138.6
End29.4
red by 27.2
4004
#30
162.01.3
161.7162.9
Auto18.6
Teleop125.5
End14.9
Third
66
#22
185.80.6
184.3184.9
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
red by 51.8
7213
#25
133.90.7
137.1136.4
Auto17.3
Teleop99.0
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed