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Red400
4967166.9
6100151.5
141185.3
Blue327
3538204.6
5674170.7
6548178.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296427100200500600700400327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#8
185.31.3
178.4179.7
Auto24.7
Teleop138.0
End24.4
blue by 19.3
3538
#11
204.60.2
206.7206.5
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
Second
166.91.2
162.1163.3
Auto27.0
Teleop112.4
End28.3
blue by 12.0
6548
#13
178.90.4
180.8181.1
Auto20.7
Teleop126.2
End30.2
Third
6100
#26
151.51.0
152.7151.7
Auto14.3
Teleop117.5
End18.3
blue by 19.2
5674
#24
170.71.3
174.6173.3
Auto20.1
Teleop124.0
End27.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsEarned66%Face the Boss oddsEarned