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Red363
4680134.7
245189.3
4967166.9
Blue246
2586145.7
3534168.5
5927120.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3992990100200500600700363246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#19
189.31.1
192.0191.0
Auto19.5
Teleop138.6
End29.4
red by 20.8
3534
#21
168.50.6
166.2166.9
Auto19.4
Teleop130.1
End19.2
Second
166.91.9
163.3165.2
Auto27.0
Teleop112.4
End28.3
red by 21.2
2586
#32
145.70.6
148.6148.0
Auto16.2
Teleop111.5
End18.1
Third
4680
#37
134.70.6
135.7135.2
Auto15.1
Teleop99.1
End19.1
red by 13.9
5927
#20
120.81.5
118.4119.9
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed