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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red161
1684172.1
4237165.6
5467157.0
Blue339
910158.3
3618163.1
314151.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356323100200400500600700161339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#20
172.10.0
172.1→172.1
Auto25.5
Teleop127.9
End19.8
red by 9.0
3618
#8
163.10.2
162.5→162.7
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
Second
4237
#3
165.60.3
165.2→165.6
Auto21.3
Teleop130.9
End13.0
red by 7.2
910
#34
158.30.2
159.2→158.9
Auto22.5
Teleop124.2
End11.2
Third
5467
#25
157.00.2
156.8→157.0
Auto16.0
Teleop118.4
End24.4
red by 5.2
314
#26
151.70.2
152.4→152.2
Auto18.6
Teleop114.2
End19.1