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Red492
3536176.8
2767238.1
3546173.3
Blue281
314151.7
4377143.1
226183.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479285100200400600700800492281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238.11.1
228.2229.2
Auto26.4
Teleop165.0
End46.9
red by 54.5
226
#22
183.60.3
183.9184.3
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
Second
176.80.2
180.9181.1
Auto20.5
Teleop127.4
End30.9
red by 25.1
314
#26
151.70.2
152.8153.0
Auto18.6
Teleop114.2
End19.1
Third
3546
#17
173.30.5
177.4177.9
Auto22.7
Teleop129.2
End21.6
red by 30.3
4377
#24
143.10.4
144.8145.2
Auto16.2
Teleop99.2
End25.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
73%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsEarned