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Qual 112018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red369
3618163.1
4779159.5
5114171.6
Blue372
217230.1
6077166.1
4237165.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296423100200500600700369372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#29
171.60.2
177.3→177.5
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End25.7
blue by 58.5
217
#5
230.10.9
224.8→225.7
Auto23.4
Teleop178.6
End26.3
Second
3618
#8
163.10.8
144.6→145.4
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
blue by 3.0
6077
#11
166.11.4
161.1→162.5
Auto18.9
Teleop124.8
End21.0
Third
4779
#31
159.50.7
163.8→164.6
Auto20.6
Teleop117.2
End20.5
blue by 6.1
4237
#3
165.60.0
157.3→157.4
Auto21.3
Teleop130.9
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed