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Qual 212018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red261
7144130.2
573158.4
5467157.0
Blue417
3618163.1
2959176.8
6637137.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326391100200500600700261417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#32
158.40.5
173.3→172.7
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
blue by 18.3
2959
#19
176.80.2
184.8→185.0
Auto20.7
Teleop126.5
End27.6
Second
5467
#25
157.01.6
147.1→148.6
Auto16.0
Teleop118.4
End24.4
blue by 6.1
3618
#8
163.11.8
146.9→148.7
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
Third
7144
#14
130.20.7
132.1→132.8
Auto19.1
Teleop91.4
End21.8
blue by 7.5
6637
#39
137.70.8
143.1→142.3
Auto17.9
Teleop107.9
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed