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Red442
4237165.6
2767238.1
7178136.8
Blue265
2145153.0
1189180.9
6077166.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381311200500442265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238.10.4
230.8231.1
Auto26.4
Teleop165.0
End46.9
red by 57.2
1189
#23
180.91.3
191.2189.9
Auto22.7
Teleop135.8
End21.2
Second
165.60.5
156.9157.4
Auto21.3
Teleop130.9
End13.0
blue by 0.5
6077
#11
166.10.2
163.0163.3
Auto18.9
Teleop124.8
End21.0
Third
7178
#27
136.81.1
135.7136.8
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End16.6
blue by 16.2
2145
#30
153.00.2
151.0151.1
Auto15.5
Teleop118.0
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
69%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed