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Qual 32018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red424
5234174.4
4237165.6
7144130.2
Blue176
5560140.2
2604104.4
1684172.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393269100200500600700424176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5234
#21
174.40.8
178.7→179.5
Auto25.8
Teleop124.0
End20.1
red by 2.3
1684
#20
172.11.3
163.0→164.3
Auto25.5
Teleop127.9
End19.8
Second
4237
#3
165.60.6
157.9→157.3
Auto21.3
Teleop130.9
End13.0
red by 25.3
5560
#18
140.21.0
137.1→138.1
Auto17.7
Teleop104.4
End18.8
Third
7144
#14
130.20.4
131.8→131.4
Auto19.1
Teleop91.4
End21.8
red by 25.8
2604
#40
104.40.8
110.7→110.0
Auto17.7
Teleop75.4
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed