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Red410
3618163.1
5560140.2
6618172.7
Blue345
2767238.1
573158.4
2619126.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308419100200500600700800410345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.70.3
166.6166.2
Auto17.7
Teleop130.8
End24.3
blue by 65.4
238.11.1
231.1232.3
Auto26.4
Teleop165.0
End46.9
Second
163.11.9
148.7150.6
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
red by 4.6
573
#32
158.40.9
172.7171.8
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
Third
5560
#18
140.20.5
138.3137.8
Auto17.7
Teleop104.4
End18.8
red by 13.6
2619
#37
126.60.2
126.7126.5
Auto19.6
Teleop95.1
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed68%Face the Boss oddsEarned