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Qual 402018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red351
5603174.4
573158.4
2959176.8
Blue402
4237165.6
5907169.8
862193.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3334130200600800351402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#19
176.81.2
185.4→184.2
Auto20.7
Teleop126.5
End27.6
blue by 17.0
862
#12
193.80.1
193.3→193.4
Auto22.8
Teleop150.5
End18.4
Second
5603
#15
174.40.5
170.7→171.2
Auto21.0
Teleop126.8
End27.7
red by 4.6
5907
#16
169.80.2
171.7→171.5
Auto21.0
Teleop126.5
End22.6
Third
573
#32
158.40.9
171.8→170.9
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
blue by 7.1
4237
#3
165.61.5
158.6→160.1
Auto21.3
Teleop130.9
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed