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Qual 422018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red309
4779159.5
5675177.9
201149.3
Blue404
5234174.4
6618172.7
2767238.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3234240100200500600700800309404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#4
177.91.9
172.1→174.0
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End24.2
blue by 60.2
2767
#1
238.10.3
232.9→233.2
Auto26.4
Teleop165.0
End46.9
Second
4779
#31
159.50.4
166.3→165.9
Auto20.6
Teleop117.2
End20.5
blue by 14.9
5234
#21
174.41.2
182.5→181.3
Auto25.8
Teleop124.0
End20.1
Third
201
#35
149.30.5
155.3→154.8
Auto18.3
Teleop116.8
End14.0
blue by 23.4
6618
#6
172.71.2
166.7→167.9
Auto17.7
Teleop130.8
End24.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed88%Face the Boss oddsEarned