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Red376
5603174.4
3767162.7
6618172.7
Blue242
4983154.3
6637137.7
4779159.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367339200300400500600376242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#15
174.42.4
162.3164.7
Auto21.0
Teleop126.8
End27.7
red by 14.9
4779
#31
159.51.6
162.2163.8
Auto20.6
Teleop117.2
End20.5
Second
172.70.2
166.5166.8
Auto17.7
Teleop130.8
End24.3
red by 18.4
4983
#28
154.31.0
149.7150.8
Auto18.3
Teleop117.4
End19.4
Third
3767
#13
162.71.3
157.7159.0
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End14.3
red by 25.0
6637
#39
137.70.9
146.4145.5
Auto17.9
Teleop107.9
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed