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Qual 532018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red159
573158.4
7178136.8
5114171.6
Blue378
314151.7
5234174.4
910158.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323375100200500600159378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#29
171.60.1
178.2→178.1
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End25.7
blue by 2.8
5234
#21
174.41.0
181.3→180.3
Auto25.8
Teleop124.0
End20.1
Second
573
#32
158.40.4
170.2→169.9
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
red by 0.1
910
#34
158.30.2
158.2→158.4
Auto22.5
Teleop124.2
End11.2
Third
7178
#27
136.80.0
138.9→139.0
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End16.6
blue by 14.9
314
#26
151.70.6
150.8→151.4
Auto18.6
Teleop114.2
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed