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Qual 552018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red329
4983154.3
3546173.3
4855174.4
Blue210
4237165.6
3618163.1
2604104.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3813060200600800329210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#10
174.40.9
169.0→169.9
Auto18.4
Teleop130.6
End26.8
red by 8.8
4237
#3
165.61.3
162.7→164.0
Auto21.3
Teleop130.9
End13.0
Second
3546
#17
173.30.9
176.0→175.2
Auto22.7
Teleop129.2
End21.6
red by 10.2
3618
#8
163.12.2
157.1→159.3
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
Third
4983
#28
154.30.1
154.2→154.4
Auto18.3
Teleop117.4
End19.4
red by 49.9
2604
#40
104.40.1
106.8→106.9
Auto17.7
Teleop75.4
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed