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Qual 712018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red361
5530165.1
7256121.0
4983154.3
Blue204
6637137.7
314151.7
573158.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3003460100200400500600700361204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#33
165.10.5
165.6→165.0
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
red by 6.7
573
#32
158.41.3
167.0→165.7
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
Second
4983
#28
154.30.2
154.1→154.0
Auto18.3
Teleop117.4
End19.4
red by 2.6
314
#26
151.70.6
152.1→152.7
Auto18.6
Teleop114.2
End19.1
Third
7256
#38
121.01.7
123.6→121.9
Auto14.9
Teleop89.6
End17.1
blue by 16.7
6637
#39
137.70.3
138.8→138.5
Auto17.9
Teleop107.9
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed