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Semifinal 2-22018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red378
3641189.9
1025179.6
573158.4
Blue156
910158.3
3618163.1
314151.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3673120200600800378156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#7
189.90.2
190.8→190.6
Auto21.7
Teleop146.6
End18.2
red by 26.9
3618
#8
163.10.2
162.8→163.0
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
Second
1025
#2
179.60.1
179.5→179.6
Auto23.6
Teleop129.4
End25.9
red by 21.3
910
#34
158.30.1
158.7→158.6
Auto22.5
Teleop124.2
End11.2
Third
573
#32
158.40.7
161.3→160.5
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
red by 6.7
314
#26
151.70.1
152.0→151.9
Auto18.6
Teleop114.2
End19.1