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Red304
67207.3
3707204.4
3535156.9
Blue419
3098187.3
4003204.2
2586144.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3813390100200300500600700304419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
207.30.4
207.7207.3
Auto23.9
Teleop142.3
End38.6
red by 3.0
4003
Unranked
204.20.1
204.3204.2
Auto22.5
Teleop159.5
End22.9
Second
3707
Unranked
204.40.4
204.9204.4
Auto25.4
Teleop147.2
End29.6
red by 17.1
3098
Unranked
187.30.2
187.4187.3
Auto20.0
Teleop139.5
End27.8
Third
3535
Unranked
156.90.2
157.1156.9
Auto22.9
Teleop115.0
End18.4
red by 12.5
2586
Unranked
144.30.2
144.5144.3
Auto15.8
Teleop110.6
End18.9