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Semifinal 1-22018 Michigan State Championship
Red430
67207.3
3707204.4
4392174.6
Blue222
217229.9
2767238.5
5907169.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3404390100200300400500600700430222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
207.30.5
209.3→208.8
Auto23.9
Teleop142.3
End38.6
blue by 31.3
2767
Unranked
238.50.2
238.4→238.6
Auto26.1
Teleop165.7
End43.5
Second
3707
Unranked
204.40.5
206.6→206.0
Auto25.4
Teleop147.2
End29.6
blue by 25.5
217
Unranked
229.90.0
230.1→230.1
Auto23.3
Teleop178.9
End22.8
Third
4392
Unranked
174.60.3
174.9→174.6
Auto15.2
Teleop138.0
End20.4
red by 4.8
5907
Unranked
169.80.1
169.9→170.0
Auto20.8
Teleop126.8
End19.1