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Quarterfinal 4-12018 FIM District Escanaba Event
Red396
857132.4
5505156.6
5213111.2
Blue238
3602120.9
4956135.9
6557118.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319274100200400500600396238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#4
156.60.7
153.7→154.4
Auto15.6
Teleop125.0
End18.3
red by 20.8
4956
#8
135.90.9
134.0→135.0
Auto19.7
Teleop104.5
End15.1
Second
857
#6
132.40.4
130.7→131.0
Auto16.4
Teleop94.2
End24.7
red by 11.6
3602
#28
120.90.1
121.1→121.0
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End8.1
Third
5213
#39
111.20.1
110.6→110.7
Auto11.9
Teleop85.7
End16.0
blue by 7.4
6557
#20
118.60.5
117.7→118.1
Auto14.0
Teleop93.0
End13.1